Validation backlog — assumptions to prove before major spend
Purpose
Gate lumpy CAPEX (fence, water, herd, equipment, telemetry at scale) on evidence, not hope. Operational checklist layer on East Tennessee two-site farm business plan — validation backlog—same IDs where possible**.
Phase 0–1 stance (pilot vs production): Execution gates — Phase 0–1 (East Tennessee two-site) — use before treating G1–G8 checkboxes as production-honest.
Key decisions supported
| Spend type |
Do not proceed until… |
| Fence (full perimeter MVP) |
G1 rows green |
| Water development |
Hydrology / rights rows green |
| Herd scale-up |
Market + margin rows green |
| Telemetry beyond pilot |
Instrumentation priority + manual proof |
| Equipment purchase |
vs custom hire comparison documented |
Major spend definition (editable)
| Threshold |
Value |
| Major single check |
$___ |
| Cumulative rolling 12-mo farm CAPEX |
$___ without gate review |
Gate table — link evidence (fill)
| Gate ID |
Assumption to prove |
Proof required |
Evidence location |
Pass? |
| G1 |
Legal use of land for intended enterprise |
Deed / lease / zoning letter |
|
Y/N |
| G1b |
Physical access year-round |
Road photos + maintenance plan |
|
|
| G2 |
Carrying capacity band |
Extension method or consult report |
|
|
| G3 |
Water volume + rights |
Well report / stream rights attorney note |
|
|
| G4 |
Market — cattle or lease comps |
Sale bills / signed comps |
|
|
| G5 |
Processing or haul path |
Calls + distances |
|
|
| G6 |
Labor hours budget realistic |
4-week time log |
|
|
| G7 |
Insurance adequacy |
Binder + umbrella |
|
|
| G8 |
Telemetry manual baseline |
30-day log without remote control |
|
|
Before first financed infrastructure (checklist)
Branching
| If G2 fails (low carrying capacity ) | Reduce owned herd or increase lease share before fence scale |
| If G4 fails | Do not expand production—improve marketing or exit enterprise |
Known / assumed / open
| Class |
Content |
| Known |
Business plan requires validation before irreversible bets |
| Assumed |
Someone owns each gate with due date |
| Open |
Grant / EQIP timelines if used |
Links